AppleFX Wed Mar 15, 2017 2:33 am
GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: March 15, 2017
The sterling pound has been widely expected by analysts to undergo a lot of pressure both in the short term and medium term, with bounces in the GBP/USD pair translating into selloffs and this was what the market has been seeing in the past few days as far as the GBP/USD pair is concerned. The currency pair briefly bounced at the 1.2250 region but eventually fizzled out as the pair was met with massive selloffs at this region. As of the moment, the currency pair looks very fragile and is currently situated at the 1.2150 barrier, Brexit process notwithstanding.
The invocation of the Article 50 is getting closer but as far as the UK government is concerned, there are no hints yet as to the exact date of the said invocation. The government has already decided to invoke the article this month but has refused to announce the specific date for the event. It is only a matter of time before the invocation but none of them has asked the EU leaders with regards to the timeline of the said process. It appears that there has been no consultation whatsoever between the eurozone and UK leaders with regards to the date of the invocation, and some EU officials are even saying that the actual negotiations might have to wait until June even if the invocation happens this month. Due to this confusion, the sterling pound has been consistently kept under pressure, with the GBP/USD pair in the midst of suffering.
In addition to the mentioned uncertainties, the UK Deputy Governor has also announced his resignation, adding up to the already heightened concerns within the economy. The FOMC rate announcement will be happening later today, and a couple of economic data such as the CPI index and retail sales data are also due to be released today. These are all expected to further induce the GBP/USD pair to plummet towards 1.2000 in the short term basis.